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CUKev

Joined: 11/27/2003 Posts: 33274
Likes: 10991


Valid question...


There is the possibility of a tackle for no gain or tackle for loss. There is the possibility a 1st down pass is completed for a 20 yard gain. These things happen. It's all about risk and reward.

Ideally, offenses should always have two advantages over the defense. The O knows the play and the O knows the snap count. If the OL is stronger than the people they are blocking, a punishing running game should wear the D down as the game progresses and that advantage becomes more and more pronounced. The 5-yd. runs become 10-yd. runs. A speed advantage does not become more pronounced as the game progresses.

I saw data years ago that shows that it is easier and "safer" (fewer turnovers. fewer QB hits, fewer mistakes, etc.) to consistently gain a few yards running the ball than to complete passes. This all depends, of course, on the personnel and schemes. Plus, there is the added benefit that the opposing offense can't score if I have the ball. ToP is a semi-meaningless stat but ball control at a minimum usually helps keep the total points closer than it would otherwise be. There are exceptions but ball control is generally good.

IMO it's far easier and more beneficial for a team with substandard talent (like CU) to establish a strong running game than a high-flying passing attack. If nothing else it's burns the clock and CU only loses by 20 instead of 40. LOL. (I seriously coached at a HS that switched to the option because our talent levels were so low compared to our opponents that we wanted an offensive system that burned the clock as quickly as possible. Desperate times call for desperate measures)

[Post edited by CUKev at 10/14/2021 8:27PM]

(In response to this post by WinningLeadership)

Posted: 10/14/2021 at 8:26PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Zona and Stanford 2 worst run Ds in Pac. -- 241Volcano 10/14/2021 11:21AM
  So are you saying CU will choose to throw it 50 times? ** -- WinningLeadership 10/14/2021 3:54PM
  One of the reasons I bet Over 44 -- Visionary Buff 10/14/2021 1:30PM
  Run the damn ball -- CUKev 10/14/2021 11:46AM
  I hope they've already had that conversation -- CUKev 10/14/2021 8:36PM
  I like it and I'd add.. -- Godscountry 10/14/2021 7:54PM
  Third and 5 is almost always a passing down, no? -- WinningLeadership 10/14/2021 4:50PM
  Well it sounds like you are more informed on that than I -- WinningLeadership 10/14/2021 5:31PM
  Like I've said here many times... -- CUKev 10/14/2021 8:47PM
  Analyzing risk/reward is smart. -- WinningLeadership 10/14/2021 5:40PM
  Have to consider what the D is showing -- CUKev 10/14/2021 4:43PM
  To your point -- WinningLeadership 10/14/2021 4:52PM
  Valid question... -- CUKev 10/14/2021 8:26PM
  I laughed throughout that final paragraph -- WinningLeadership 10/14/2021 9:45PM
  Like we have a choice? ** -- JeffGerardi 10/14/2021 1:29PM
  Lewis could attempt a lot of passes -- CUKev 10/14/2021 2:13PM
  Your Kingsbury/Chiv point -- WinningLeadership 10/14/2021 4:54PM
  Yep... -- CUKev 10/14/2021 8:35PM
  And whether our OL gets it together. -- Bisonic 10/14/2021 1:02PM
  I don't like Chiv's play calling -- CUKev 10/14/2021 2:05PM
  🏈🚫 ** -- hawg1 10/14/2021 2:57PM
  They don't play Stanford this year. ** -- iknowmorethanu 10/14/2021 4:41PM
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