Where Colorado Buffalo alumni, fans and friends come to chat all things CU. Go Buffs!

Football Message Board

HallelujahBuff

Joined: 8/15/14 Posts: 1221
Likes: 697


0.35% will result in about 10x average deaths from flu


Pretty much what the experts predicted from the get go.

330,000,000 x .60 (herd immunity) x .0035 = 693,000

The death rate of the infection isn't 10x, but combined with the infection rate it means about 10x the number of total deaths.

BTW the annual average flu deaths in the US is 36k but since the experts expect it to take 12-18 months for covid19 to run its course, comparing it to 2 years worth of flu deaths (72k) is appropriate.

[Post edited by HallelujahBuff at 04/28/2020 2:38PM]

(In response to this post by Harvest House)

Posted: 04/28/2020 at 2:31PM



+0

Insert a Link

Enter the title of the link here:


Enter the full web address of the link here -- include the "http://" part:


Current Thread:
 
  
More talk of College Football being a split decision in 2020 -- Harvest House 04/26/2020 11:34PM
  I hope we have football in 2020 but not optimistic -- HallelujahBuff 04/27/2020 4:18PM
  We had 80,000 flu deaths in 2018 -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 5:35PM
  Covid-19 is just under 50k deaths in 3 months -- CUKev 04/28/2020 10:13AM
  How much was flu up y/y? How about covid? ** -- 241Volcano 04/27/2020 5:55PM
  2019-2020 flu deaths 24,000 - 62,000 per CDC -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 6:20PM
  Yawn -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 6:35PM
  Colorado Department of Health case data -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 11:09PM
  I reject your false premise -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 10:58PM
  Lecture much? -- Visionary Buff 04/28/2020 11:24AM
  This from an interview from 5 days ago. -- HallelujahBuff 04/27/2020 5:54PM
  I tried not to make any assumptions -- HallelujahBuff 04/27/2020 5:13PM
  NFL will play for sure; college is going to be close call -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 5:06PM
  Could not agree more -- eastside Buff 04/27/2020 3:45PM
  Yep there’s pushback to online -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:48PM
  I'd take my chances in a stadium over a dorm ** -- JeffCoBuff 04/27/2020 1:36PM
  A great point Go2 - should be individual choice -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 2:55PM
  Individuals contract, pass, and overflow hospitals. ** -- 241Volcano 04/27/2020 3:37PM
  Except hospitals aren’t overflowing -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:50PM
  Brother never unemployed -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 4:49PM
  Good point ** -- JeffCoBuff 04/27/2020 1:43PM
  Purdue is reopening in the fall -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 10:50AM
  Can they carry it and expose -- Irish Buff 04/27/2020 2:11PM
  Yes - just as they could if they were at home -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:25PM
  My youngest is college frosh this year -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:36PM
  She plays softball -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 4:59PM
  Good move. ** -- hawg1 04/27/2020 3:42PM
  Yep - look past the false dichotomy -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 1:37PM
  The models were spectacularly wrong? -- Flatirons 04/27/2020 2:18PM
  Yes - Ferguson model -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 2:59PM
  Imperial College model assumed no mitigations ** -- Flatirons 04/27/2020 3:21PM
  Like shooting fish in a barrel. ** -- hawg1 04/27/2020 3:37PM
  Yes - sure it is wrong -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:16PM
  I agree facts matter -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:43PM
  *** -- Flatirons 04/27/2020 1:44PM
  You’re revising history -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:12PM
  Boiler Up! -- HallelujahBuff 04/27/2020 11:48AM
  That is far from a sure thing at Purdue -- BuffsIn2020 04/27/2020 10:56AM
  And here's the link -- BuffsIn2020 04/27/2020 10:09AM
vm311