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Joined: 8/15/14 Posts: 1232
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I hope we have football in 2020 but not optimistic

Unfortunately, if the experts are right (not the politicians or other pseudo scientists ) we will be lucky if there is football in the fall of 2021, yet alone 2020.

Its going to take 65% to 70% of all Americans to catch this virus before herd immunity takes place. It will take 12 to 18 months to develop a vaccine. Right now estimates are 5 to 15% of Americans have contracted this disease. Going to be a lot of "peaks" like the one that we are coming down from before we get to 70%.

Many industries have been bankrupted or soon will be (energy, hotel, airlines etc) ... College athletics will be another one.

I am sure when WWII broke out, many people just wanted society to return to "normal." Didn't happen. Get ready for a long drawn out war, but pray for a miracle.

Just my $0.02, which means nothing, as I have no background in infectious disease. But as I listen to more "experts", this is not going to end soon.

I listened to the podcast of the epidemiologist linked below a month ago when he was on with Joe Rogan. He has nailed what he thought would happen so far. He suggested the outcome would be about 10x worse than an average common flu season. He says right now we are in the second inning of a nine inning game. I hope he is wrong. I hope we have football next fall.

(In response to this post by Harvest House)

Link: Dr. Osterholm (April 26th)

Posted: 04/27/2020 at 4:18PM


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Current Thread:
More talk of College Football being a split decision in 2020 -- Harvest House 04/26/2020 11:34PM
  I hope we have football in 2020 but not optimistic -- HallelujahBuff 04/27/2020 4:18PM
  We had 80,000 flu deaths in 2018 -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 5:35PM
  Covid-19 is just under 50k deaths in 3 months -- CUKev 04/28/2020 10:13AM
  How much was flu up y/y? How about covid? ** -- 241Volcano 04/27/2020 5:55PM
  2019-2020 flu deaths 24,000 - 62,000 per CDC -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 6:20PM
  Yawn -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 6:35PM
  Colorado Department of Health case data -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 11:09PM
  I reject your false premise -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 10:58PM
  Lecture much? -- Visionary Buff 04/28/2020 11:24AM
  This from an interview from 5 days ago. -- HallelujahBuff 04/27/2020 5:54PM
  I tried not to make any assumptions -- HallelujahBuff 04/27/2020 5:13PM
  NFL will play for sure; college is going to be close call -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 5:06PM
  Could not agree more -- eastside Buff 04/27/2020 3:45PM
  Yep there’s pushback to online -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:48PM
  I'd take my chances in a stadium over a dorm ** -- JeffCoBuff 04/27/2020 1:36PM
  A great point Go2 - should be individual choice -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 2:55PM
  Individuals contract, pass, and overflow hospitals. ** -- 241Volcano 04/27/2020 3:37PM
  Except hospitals aren’t overflowing -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:50PM
  Brother never unemployed -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 4:49PM
  Good point ** -- JeffCoBuff 04/27/2020 1:43PM
  Purdue is reopening in the fall -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 10:50AM
  Can they carry it and expose -- Irish Buff 04/27/2020 2:11PM
  Yes - just as they could if they were at home -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:25PM
  My youngest is college frosh this year -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:36PM
  She plays softball -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 4:59PM
  Good move. ** -- hawg1 04/27/2020 3:42PM
  Yep - look past the false dichotomy -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 1:37PM
  The models were spectacularly wrong? -- Flatirons 04/27/2020 2:18PM
  Yes - Ferguson model -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 2:59PM
  Imperial College model assumed no mitigations ** -- Flatirons 04/27/2020 3:21PM
  Like shooting fish in a barrel. ** -- hawg1 04/27/2020 3:37PM
  Yes - sure it is wrong -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:16PM
  I agree facts matter -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:43PM
  *** -- Flatirons 04/27/2020 1:44PM
  You’re revising history -- Visionary Buff 04/27/2020 3:12PM
  Boiler Up! -- HallelujahBuff 04/27/2020 11:48AM
  That is far from a sure thing at Purdue -- BuffsIn2020 04/27/2020 10:56AM
  And here's the link -- BuffsIn2020 04/27/2020 10:09AM