A surge was expected just didn't know how big it would be. I don't think here in CA we've had a surge yet, just a steady amount of new cases a day. Spain is now the new Italy because it's a big holiday spot for Britain, etc. during the winter months. It's bad there and it happened really quickly. Also New Orleans is feeling it because of Mardi Gras a few weeks ago and people out and about and now the cases are hitting.