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SamSpade

Joined: 9/1/96 Posts: 3593
Likes: 1089


I have been self-quarantining and needed a project.......


Soooo, a seismic shift is predicted of the revenue with legal sports betting in the future. See link at the end.

What would CFB look like if it went with 32 teams like the NFL to split these revenues? Who gets in, who is on the sidelines?

I used four ranking criteria: Top 32 TV markets (factor of 2), most wins by program (1.75), attendance (2.25), and total revenue generated (2.25). The rankings came out like this:

1 TX 35.50
2 UM 41.00
3 Penn State 49.00
4 OSU 52.75
5 A&M 61.50
6 Notre Dame* 71.00
7 UGA 73.00
8 USC* 89.75
9 Bama# 91.50
10 UF 118.25
11 OU# 119.75
12 UT-TN 123.00
13 LSU# 132.00
14 NU# 136.75
15 FSU 140.25
16 Auburn# 142.75
17 UW 156.50
18 WI# 167.00
19 AR# 175.20
20 Clemson# 182.75
21 Canes* 186.50
22 Syracuse 187.25
24 Stanford* 194.50
25 MSU# 195.75
26 Minny 207.50
27 SC# 208.50
28 Cal 211.00
29 UCLA 217.00
30 UVA 218.00
31 ASU 219.25
32 Iowa# 219.75
23 BC 220.75
33 CU 224.50
34 Pitt** 225.00
35 Mizzou 229.50
36 UO 232.75
37 BYU** 234.75
38 UNC 237.75
39 W VA# 238.00
40 Indiana 238.25
41 Louisville# 240.75
42 VA Tech# 242.50
43 UK# 243.00
44 GA Tech# 247.75
45 Ole Miss# 258.00
46 Maryland 258.25
47 Miss St.# 258.75
48 NC St 260.25
49 TT# 263.25
50 UU# 263.50
51 Houston 268.25
52 KU 270.25

#=Not in a top 32 TV market
*=Private, assigned a #10 ranking in revenue
**=Private, assigned a #20 ranking in revenue.

The factors are my interpretation of what is important for the long term of CFB. TV market is obvious yet not critical. Past wins is not as valuable because of the stock market saw, “past performance doesn’t mean etc”. yet it is provides a historical reference. The two most valued factors were attendance, does anybody care, and revenue, can a school keep it going.

Discrepancies, best guesses, and human judgement abound in these rankings. I eliminated Yale, Harvard, Penn, Mount Union, Princeton, Wittenburg, Washington and Jefferson, NDSU, Navy, Dartmouth, Delaware, Miami OH, Army, Tuskegee, Lehigh, Washbash, Dayton, Lafayette, and Northern Iowa from the wins list. I assigned TV markets randomly, I gave UT the Dallas market when it is actually is Austin. I gave Salt Lake TVs to BYU and no points to UU. This was just something I did to amuse me and is not meant to be an in depth study. Yet, I think the results mirror close to the top 32 programs.

The formula looks like this:
Texas X= TV (5*2) + Wins (3*1.75) + Attendance (8*2.25) + Revenue (1*2.25)
CU X=TV (17*2) + Wins (24*1.75) + Attendance (33*2.25) + Revenue (33*2.25).

Schools that were not in the top 32 rankings in a category were assigned a #33 ranking. Obviously, if more in depth research was done to assign a more accurate ranking the data would be better.

The data that was used:

Top 32 TV markets:
• New York (#1)-Syracuse
• Los Angeles (#2)-USC
• Chicago (#3)-NotreDame
• Philadelphia (#4)- Penn State
• Dallas-Fort Worth (#5)-UT
• San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose (#6)-Stanford
• Washington, D.C. (Hagerstown) (#7)-UVA
• Houston (#8)-A$M
• Boston (Manchester) (#9)BC
• Atlanta (#10)-UGA
• Phoenix (Prescott) (#11)-ASU
• Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota) (#12)-FSU
• Seattle-Tacoma (#13)-UW
• Detroit (#14)-UM
• Minneapolis-St. Paul (#15)-Minny
• Miami-Fort Lauderdale (#16)-Canes
• Denver (#17)-CU
• Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne (#18)-UF
• Cleveland-Akron (Canton) (#19)-OSU
• Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto (#20)-Fresno
• Charlotte (#21)-NC State
• Portland, OR (#22)-UO
• St. Louis (#23)-Mizzou
• Pittsburgh (#24)-Pitt
• Indianapolis (#25)-Indiana
• Baltimore (#26)-Maryland
• Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville) (#27)-UNC
• Nashville (#28)-UT
• San Diego (#29)-SDSU/UCLA
• Salt Lake City (#30)-UU
• San Antonio (#31)-Houston
• Kansas City (#32)-KU
Nielsen

All time wins:
1 Michigan
2 Ohio State[b]
3 (T) Alabama[c]
3 (T) Texas
5 (T) Notre Dame[d]
5 (T) Oklahoma
7 Nebraska
8 Penn State
9 USC
10 Tennessee
11 Georgia
12 LSU
13 Auburn
14 Clemson
15 West Virginia
16 Virginia Tech
17 Texas A&M
18 Washington
19 Georgia Tech
20 Florida
21 Syracuse
22 Arkansas
23 Wisconsin
24 Colorado
25 Michigan State
26 Minnesota
27 North Carolina[f]
28 Utah
29 Missouri
30 California[g]
31 Boston College
32 Oregon

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_NCAA_football_teams_by_wins

Attendance (5-year average):
1 Michigan
2 Ohio State
3 Penn State
4 Alabama
5 Texas A&M
6 LSU
7 Tennessee
8 Texas
9 Georgia
10 Nebraska
11 Florida
12 Auburn
13 Oklahoma
14 Clemson
15 Notre Dame
16 Wisconsin
17 South Carolina
18 FSU
19 MSU
20 USC
21 Iowa
22 Washington
23 Arkansas
24 UCLA
25 V Tech
26 Ole Miss
27 Miss. State
28 Mizzou
29 TT
30 Kentucky
31 W Virginia
32 BYU

https://collegefootballnews.com/2019/07/college-football-attendance-rankings-no-1-130-2019-cfn-five-year-program-analysis/2

Revenue:
1 Texas
2 Texas A&M
3 Ohio State
4 Michigan
5 Alabama
6 Georgia
7 Oklahoma
8 Florida State
9 Penn State
10 Florida
11 Wisconsin
12 Auburn
13 Michigan State
14 LSU
15 Tennessee
16 Nebraska
17 South Carolina
18 Iowa
19 Louisville
20 Kentucky
21 UCLA
22 Washington
23 Arkansas
24 Minnesota
25 Indiana
26 Oregon
27 Clemson
28 Illinois
29 Arizona State
30 Mississippi
31 Missouri
32 Virginia

https://sports.usatoday.com/ncaa/finances/

Link: Billions of revenue coming with legal sports betting


Posted: 03/22/2020 at 09:59AM



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