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SamSpade

Joined: 9/1/96 Posts: 3133
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Predictions, what are the numbers going to be?...


History says the party of the President will lose Congressional seats in their first term. With a similar approval rating as Trump now has (the mid 40s), IIRC Obama lost 60 House and 6 Senate seats.

Silver says it is an 88% probability of the Ds taking the House. The Senate map, on the other hand, is not as favorable just based on the states in play.

I say the blue wave happens, Ds pick up 65 in the House and hold on to their -2 minority status.








[Post edited by SamSpade at 11/06/2018 09:04AM]

Link: Forecasting the race for the House


Posted: 11/06/2018 at 07:15AM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Predictions, what are the numbers going to be?... -- SamSpade 11/06/2018 07:15AM
  Easy to predict -- Buff Fan for Life 11/06/2018 3:08PM
  Which excuse will it be this time? -- Buff Fan for Life 11/06/2018 9:14PM
  Still counting those illegal votes? -- H.I. McDunnough 11/06/2018 9:26PM
  Surprised you have so much time to post -- Buff Fan for Life 11/06/2018 11:28PM
  Boulder on Friday! Meet me at the Buffalo. -- H.I. McDunnough 11/07/2018 10:06AM
  Nah, work to do today. -- Buff Fan for Life 11/07/2018 11:10AM
  What is scary -- Buff Fan for Life 11/06/2018 9:14PM
  Cruz was called early. Beto was not close. -- Buff Fan for Life 11/06/2018 11:30PM
  Blues win, BUT -- buffdad 11/06/2018 1:41PM
  I see the excuse making is starting already. New record. ** -- Buff Fan for Life 11/06/2018 3:04PM
  Lots of words. More excuses. More accusations. No proof. -- Buff Fan for Life 11/06/2018 9:15PM
  D by 27 ** -- hawg1 11/06/2018 09:35AM
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